Chapter_7_Prompt_Formatted.pdf

使用深度研究的ChatGPT论文写作
OpenAI ChatGPT 4o 深度研究版

你是一名才华横溢的博士生,正在撰写你的博士论文。由于最终论文将包含数个章节,总计约70,000字,你正在将其分解为若干子任务。

这是子任务8,专注于第7章。

附件中你将找到九份文档:

  1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 论文研究基础:多重危机中的人类生存——这份文档提供了整篇论文的概述。你应将其视为你的论文地图,并理解当前子任务在其中的位置。
    论文大纲与贡献——论文章节大纲。使用此大纲来定位你当前工作的章节(本子任务)在更大的叙事脉络中的位置。
    起点参考文献——这是一份参考文献列表,你应将其作为起点。然而,你应该为你所写的章节进行自己深入且迭代的研究,其范围应远超这些文献。
    第1章 D1——论文的第一章
    第2章 D1——论文的第二章
    第3章 D1——论文的第三章
    第4章 D1——论文的第四章
    第5章 D1——论文的第五章
    第6章 D1——论文的前一章(第六章)

你应使用这些文档来确保第7章符合论文的总体叙事和方向。

你将在下文找到关于此子任务的具体说明,以及论文研究问题的提醒。

你应主要依赖学术和学者文献。你应使用滚雪球方法进行研究,追踪现有文献中的线索以发展你的想法和理解,直至达到饱和点。

你应在研究中展现出深厚的学术素养。你的目标是通过论文研究,富有创造力和洞察力地梳理出新的、具有潜在变革性的知识,所提供的”地图”应在此处指导你。

论文章节应使你在三个相互关联的领域显著拓展已知知识的边界。

你的研究方法应基于对所有相关学术文献的深入探究,再次使用滚雪球方法直至饱和;运用你卓越的学术素养和才智,从文献内部和跨文献的联系与模式中提取新的知识和见解;并运用你的才智和深厚学术素养,将这些综合成清晰、原创且有影响力的知识产出。

你的方法应植根于哲学,但不受其束缚——采取一种超越学科界限的方法来生成新的知识和见解。

====================
子任务 8
===================
第7章:全球响应与未来轨迹

在此子任务中,你将研究并撰写第7章。请确保参考辅助文档,以使该章节与整篇论文相契合。

这倒数第二章侧重于集体响应维度。它将讨论当前的全球倡议(例如,气候协定、联合国的作用、G20在债务减免方面的努力),然后探讨全球战略可能如何演变。使用情景分析法,它可以根据政治、社会和技术因素的发展情况,勾勒出2-3个合理的未来路径(例如:”崩溃与分裂”、”得过且过”、”伟大转型”)。对于每种情景,将阐明其对人类生存和福祉的影响(谁赢谁输,是否实现可持续性)。本章将强调需要关注的标志性事件:例如,日益增加的国际合作可能是迈向”伟大转型”情景的标志,而持续的民族主义冲突则预示着”崩溃”。它还将确定可能推动走向某一情景的驱动因素(领导力、公众动员、作为警钟的灾难等)。目的是整合前面所有章节的见解,以评估我们正走向何方以及可以采取什么行动。最后,本章可提出战略性建议(”无悔”行动,即在各种情景下似乎都有益的行动,例如在地方层面投资于韧性、教育、灵活的治理系统)。(关键主题:国际合作、全球治理创新、情景规划、战略远见。)

你应在研究中使用滚雪球方法,追踪新的线索直至达到饱和。

本章长度应在20,000字左右。

研究完成后,我希望你提交以下内容:

  1. 第7章的完整全面草稿。

====================
论文指导性问题
===================
提醒一下,论文的总体问题是:
人类能否在环境压力、社会政治动荡和技术加速所构成的新兴多重危机中生存下来?

这包含三个子问题:

  1. 2. 3. 是否有证据表明人类正在进入一个不同于历史上任何以往时期的多重危机时期?新兴多重危机的维度是什么?它们如何单独及协同地潜在影响社会?与历史过往相比,共同点和分歧点在哪里?可以从过去学到什么?
    在本研究的背景下,如何理解人类的生存?关于人类生存和繁荣的新兴概念和思想有哪些?它们如何从历史中汲取信息?从分布边缘而非主流角度思考可以学到什么?
    全球尺度上的人类如何开始思考应对新兴多重危机以求生存的方法?可能影响思考和行动的哲学、社会、政治和经济框架及因素是什么?

论文应植根于学术素养和哲学思想。你的研究方法应借鉴跨越人类历史——直至当下——的广泛来源和思想,以产生新的想法、理解和见解。

在上述提示之后、研究与写作开始之前,深度研究提出的问题:

深度研究:
在继续撰写第7章之前,我想澄清几个关键点,以确保它完全符合您的设想:

  1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 情景分析范围:您是希望详细分析2-3种情景(例如,崩溃与分裂、得过且过、伟大转型),还是更倾向于更广泛地讨论多种可能的轨迹?
    战略建议:本章是应主要关注全球治理和制度战略,还是希望混合国际和地方层面(社区韧性、草根动员)的建议?
    跨学科重点:在评估全球响应时,是否有特定的学术领域或理论框架(例如,复杂性科学、政治经济学、韧性理论)需要强调?
    与前面章节的整合:是否有前面章节的具体发现或论点需要在本章中强调或扩展?
    偏好的写作风格:您是希望本章遵循高度分析和结构化的学术语调,还是应融入更多叙事元素、案例研究和预见方法?

您对这些方面的指导将有助于确保本章尽可能具有洞察力和影响力。

我:

  1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 我希望设定三种情景以勾勒出一系列未来的可能性,但这些情景应包含在更广泛的可能性讨论之中。
    我希望战略建议是广泛的,并侧重于全球社会可能需要的方面。这当然会主要涉及全球治理和制度战略,但要在此富有创造性和生成性。记住,你是在生成新知识,而不仅仅是重复旧思想。推动思维的边界。
    你应运用你的才智,识别符合论文 overarching questions 的学科见解和新颖的跨学科见解。
    我希望你仔细审视前面的章节,并从中梳理出为本章提供信息的论点和发现。再次强调,运用你的智慧来生成新的知识和想法。
    保持之前章节的学术性但可读性强的语调,同时使用叙事元素使新思想生动起来。

*************************************************

ChatGPT Dissertation Writing using Deep Research

OpenAI ChatGPT 4o with Deep Research

You are a brilliant PhD student writing your PhD. As the final dissertation will consist of several chapters and will be around 70,000 words long you are breaking this down into a number of sub tasks.

This is sub task 8 and focuses on chapter 7.

Attached you will find nine documents:

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Dissertation Research Foundations: Humanity’s Survival Amidst a Polycrisis ––

this document provides an overview of the whole dissertation. You should treat this as your map to the dissertation and how the current sub task fits in

Toward a Dissertation: Outline and Contributions – the dissertation chapter outline. Use this to position the chapter you are currently working on (this sub task) in the bigger narrative arc.

Starting Point References – this is a list of references you should use as a starting point. However, you should do your own deep and iterative research for the chapter that goes well beyond these

Chapter 1 D1 – the first chapter of the dissertation

Chapter 2 D1 – the second chapter of the dissertation

Chapter 3 D1 – the third chapter of the dissertation

Chapter 4 D1 – the fourth chapter of the dissertation

Chapter 5 D1 – the fifth chapter of the dissertation

Chapter 6 D1 – the preceding chapter of the dissertation

You should use these to ensure chapter 7 fits into the overarching narrative and direction of the dissertation.

You will find specific instructions on the sub task below, and a reminder of the dissertation research questions

You should rely primarily on academic and scholarly literature. You should use a snowball approach to your research, following leads in available literature to develop your ideas and understanding until you reach a saturation point.

You should demonstrate deep scholarship in your research. Your goal is to be creative and insightful in teasing out new and potentially transformative knowledge from your research through the dissertation, and the provided map should guide you here.The dissertation chapter should result in you significantly extending the boundaries of what is known in three interconnected areas.

Your research methods should be grounded in a deep dive into all relevant academic and scholarly literature, again using a snowball approach until saturation is reached; using your brilliant scholarship and intellect to draw out new knowledge and insights from connections and patterns within and across the literature; and using your intellect and deep scholarship to synthesize these into clear, original and impactful knowledge outputs.

You should ground your approach in philosophy but not be bound by this – taking an approach that transcends disciplinary boundaries to generate new knowledge and insights.

====================

SUB TASK 8

===================

Chapter 7: Global Responses and Future Trajectories

In this sub task you will be researching and writing chapter 7. Please make sure you refer to the supporting documents so that the chapter fits in with the overall dissertation.

This penultimate chapter focuses on the collective response dimension. It will discuss current global initiatives (e.g., climate accords, the UN’s role, G20 efforts on debt relief) and then explore how global strategy might evolve. Using scenario analysis, it could outline 2-3 plausible future pathways (for example: “Breakdown and Fragmentation”, “Muddling Through”, “Great Transformation”) based on how political, social, and technological factors play out. For each scenario, the implications for human survival and well-being would be drawn out (who wins, who loses, is sustainability achieved or not). The chapter will highlight signposts to watch for: e.g., increasing international cooperation could be a sign of moving toward a Great Transformation scenario, whereas continued nationalist conflicts signal Breakdown. It will also identify the drivers that could push towards one scenario or another (leadership, public mobilization, disasters acting as wake-up calls, etc.). The aim is to integrate the insights of all previous chapters to assess where are we headed and what can be done. Finally, this chapter may propose strategic recommendations (“no-regret” actions that seem beneficial across scenarios, such as investing in resilience at local levels, education, flexible governance systems). (Key themes: international cooperation, global governance innovation, scenario planning, strategic foresight.)

You should use a snowball approach in your research where you follow new leads until you reach saturation.

The chapter should be around 20,000 words longWhen your research is complete I would like you to deliver the following:

1. A complete and comprehensive draft of chapter 7

====================

DISSERTATION GUIDING QUESTIONS

===================

As a reminder, the overarching question of the dissertation is:

Can humanity survive the emerging polycrisis of environmental stressors, sociopolitical upheaval, and technological acceleration?

This encompasses three sub-questions:

1. 2. 3. Is there evidence that humanity is entering a period of polycrisis that is unlike any previous point in history? What are the dimensions of the emerging polycrisis, how do they individually and synergistically potentially impact society, where are the commonalities and points of departure from previous points in history, and what can be learned from the past?

How might human survival be understood in the context of this research? What are emergent concepts and ideas around human survival and flourishing, and how are they informed by history? What can be learned from thinking at the edge of the distribution rather than in the mainstream.

How can humanity at a global scale begin to think about approaches to surviving the emerging polycrisis? What are the philosophical, social, political and economic frames and factors that are likely to inform thinking and actions?

The dissertation should be grounded in scholarship and philosophical thought. Your research method should draw on a wide range of sources and thought that span human history — up to the present — to generate new ideas, understanding, and insights.

Questions from Deep Research after the prompt above and before research and writing began:

Deep Research:Before proceeding with writing Chapter 7, I want to clarify a few key points to ensure it aligns perfectly with your vision:

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Scenario Analysis Scope: Would you like a detailed breakdown of 2-3 scenarios (e.g., Breakdown and Fragmentation, Muddling Through, Great Transformation), or do you prefer a broader discussion of multiple possible trajectories?

Strategic Recommendations: Should this chapter focus primarily on global governance and institutional strategies, or do you want a mix of international and local-level (community resilience, grassroots mobilization) recommendations?

Interdisciplinary Emphasis: Are there particular academic fields or theoretical frameworks (e.g., complexity science, political economy, resilience theory) you

want emphasized in assessing global responses?

Integration with Previous Chapters: Are there specific findings or arguments from earlier chapters that you want highlighted or expanded upon in this chapter?

Preferred Writing Style: Would you like the chapter to follow a highly analytical and structured academic tone, or should it incorporate more narrative elements, case studies, and foresight methodologies?

Your guidance on these aspects will help ensure the chapter is as insightful and impactful as possible.

Me:

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. I would like three scenarios that lay out a spectrum of future possibilities, but these should be wrapped in a broader discussion of possibilities

I would like the strategic recommendations to be broad and focus on what global society might need. This of course will major on global governance and institutional strategies, but be creative and generative here. Remember that you are generating new knowledge and not simply regurgitating old ideas. Push the boundaries of thinking.

You should use your intellect to identify disciplinary insights and novel transdisciplinary insights that fit in with the dissertation’s overarching questions

I would like you to look closely at the previous chapters and tease out arguments and findings from them that inform this chapter. Again, use your intelligence to generate new knowledge and ideas.

Keep to the academic but readable tone of previous chapters, while also using narrative elements to bring new ides alive